Crude tagged triple digits and bond yields reignited panic, but our Meta position just floated to fresh record highs
← Wednesday, September 23, 2026 · Archive
Morning brief: Ten-year yields touched five percent and sent fear creeping back, while we sit tight ahead of our Micron tape
Yield Surge and Oil Squeeze Stocks: Spiking 10-year Treasury yields near 5.14% and geopolitical oil supply risks are rattling risk sentiment, pushing the Fear & Greed index down to 34. VKTX Plunges 14.94% on Share Offering: The stock dropped 14.94% after Viking priced an upsized $500 million stock and convertible debt deal at a steep discount to fund pipeline clinicals. Nebius Jumps 6.55% on Broker Upgrade: Nebius gained 6.55% after BNP Paribas Exane initiated an Outperform rating with a $399 target, citing durable AI infrastructure demand. ARM Drops 6.91% on Insider Selling: ARM shed 6.91% as valuation worries and climbing yields compounded news of a $3.1 million stock sale by the company's chief financial officer. Watch Yield Levels and Micron Earnings: Keep a close watch on whether 10-year yields hold above 5.10% and track labor prints before Micron reports quarterly earnings next week.
Yield Surge and Oil Squeeze Stocks
Spiking 10-year Treasury yields near 5.14% and geopolitical oil supply risks are rattling risk sentiment, pushing the Fear & Greed index down to 34.
VKTX Plunges 14.94% on Share Offering
The stock dropped 14.94% after Viking priced an upsized $500 million stock and convertible debt deal at a steep discount to fund pipeline clinicals.
Nebius Jumps 6.55% on Broker Upgrade
Nebius gained 6.55% after BNP Paribas Exane initiated an Outperform rating with a $399 target, citing durable AI infrastructure demand.
ARM Drops 6.91% on Insider Selling
ARM shed 6.91% as valuation worries and climbing yields compounded news of a $3.1 million stock sale by the company's chief financial officer.
Watch Yield Levels and Micron Earnings
Keep a close watch on whether 10-year yields hold above 5.10% and track labor prints before Micron reports quarterly earnings next week.
Posture: Defensive posture; 10Y yields at 5.10% and Fear sentiment (35) demand prioritizing resilient balance sheets and robust free cash flow.
Tickers in focus: MU, QQQ
Upcoming earnings
Evening brief: Crude tagged triple digits and bond yields reignited panic, but our Meta position just floated to fresh record highs
Yields Near 2007 Highs as Oil Tops $100: Equities chopped as 10-year Treasury yields hit 5.16% and Brent topped $100, keeping broader market sentiment pinned firmly in fear territory. Viking Drops 11.8% on Dilutive Offering: VKTX plunged 11.76% after pricing an upsized $483M concurrent offering of equity at $35 and convertible notes to fund its obesity pipeline. Arm Slumps 7.9% on Project Jupiter Fears: ARM slid 7.88% after reports of Oracle data center timeline delays sparked AI demand worries, alongside news of routine CFO insider selling. Meta Rallies 4.5% on Fresh Muse Catalysts: META climbed 4.50% to hit fresh record highs as Wall Street cheered new monetization avenues for its Muse agent unveiled at Meta Connect. Watch 10-Year Yield Peak and Micron Setup: With Fear lingering at 36, watch whether bond yields reject 5.18% tomorrow ahead of next week's pivotal Micron earnings report.
Yields Near 2007 Highs as Oil Tops $100
Equities chopped as 10-year Treasury yields hit 5.16% and Brent topped $100, keeping broader market sentiment pinned firmly in fear territory.
Viking Drops 11.8% on Dilutive Offering
VKTX plunged 11.76% after pricing an upsized $483M concurrent offering of equity at $35 and convertible notes to fund its obesity pipeline.
Arm Slumps 7.9% on Project Jupiter Fears
ARM slid 7.88% after reports of Oracle data center timeline delays sparked AI demand worries, alongside news of routine CFO insider selling.
Meta Rallies 4.5% on Fresh Muse Catalysts
META climbed 4.50% to hit fresh record highs as Wall Street cheered new monetization avenues for its Muse agent unveiled at Meta Connect.
Watch 10-Year Yield Peak and Micron Setup
With Fear lingering at 36, watch whether bond yields reject 5.18% tomorrow ahead of next week's pivotal Micron earnings report.
Posture: Defensive posture with Fear at 36 and 10-year yields testing 5.16%. Prioritize high-cash-flow value and inflation-resilient quality.
Tickers in focus: META, SPY
Upcoming earnings
The day's moves on the ledger
Every entry below is public and permanent.
- Sep 24, 2026 · SHOP — Added by the desk @ $145
Founder's favorite: re-added to the watchlist so its research is tracked - Sep 24, 2026 · TSM — Stage change Buy Zone → Hold @ $451
Using the September 24 reference close of $451.15, TSMC is about 7% above our $420.39 entry. Q2 revenue rose 36% in New Taiwan dollars, with a 55.6% net margin, and 2nm accounted for 3% of wafer revenue, so the position stays. The system G-Street Value of $566.67 rests on three June and July analyst targets whose sources are not verified, and the USD-ADR basis of those targets has not been checked, so we do not describe this as a discounted entry. Hold while those inputs are verified.