The S&P hit cruising altitude on calm inflation winds, and our long plays are really feeling that updraft
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Morning brief: CPI relief paved the way, and our AI compute plays just pulled off a quarter for the ages
CPI Relief and AI Earnings Boost Sentiment: In-line CPI data and explosive AI cloud earnings sparked a broad tech rally ahead of today's PPI reading. NBIS Soars 34.14% on Explosive Q2 Print: Nebius Group jumped after posting over 450% revenue growth driven by massive AI infrastructure demand and multi-billion-dollar deals. CRWV Rips 19.28% as AI Backlog Hits $104B: CoreWeave surged as Q2 revenue doubled to $2.6B and its multi-year AI compute backlog expanded beyond $104B. LITE Surges 13.63% on Upbeat Guidance: Lumentum rallied after delivering Q4 revenue over $1B and issuing blowout Q1 guidance powered by surging AI transceiver demand. Today's PPI Data to Dictate Fed Rate Path: Eyes turn to today's July PPI report and jobless claims to see if wholesale inflation supports the Fed staying on hold.
CPI Relief and AI Earnings Boost Sentiment
In-line CPI data and explosive AI cloud earnings sparked a broad tech rally ahead of today's PPI reading.
NBIS Soars 34.14% on Explosive Q2 Print
Nebius Group jumped after posting over 450% revenue growth driven by massive AI infrastructure demand and multi-billion-dollar deals.
CRWV Rips 19.28% as AI Backlog Hits $104B
CoreWeave surged as Q2 revenue doubled to $2.6B and its multi-year AI compute backlog expanded beyond $104B.
LITE Surges 13.63% on Upbeat Guidance
Lumentum rallied after delivering Q4 revenue over $1B and issuing blowout Q1 guidance powered by surging AI transceiver demand.
Today's PPI Data to Dictate Fed Rate Path
Eyes turn to today's July PPI report and jobless claims to see if wholesale inflation supports the Fed staying on hold.
Posture: With Fear & Greed at 62 (Greed) and CPI in-line, we adopt a cautiously optimistic posture ahead of today's PPI reading.
Tickers in focus: NBIS, CRWV, LITE
Upcoming earnings
Evening brief: The S&P hit cruising altitude on calm inflation winds, and our long plays are really feeling that updraft
S&P Hits Record on Soft PPI: The S&P 500 topped 7,800 for a new record as flat wholesale inflation data fueled Fed rate-cut expectations. Workday Soars 17.8% on PE Rumors: Shares jumped 17.78% following reports that private equity powerhouse Silver Lake is in talks for a buyout deal. SanDisk Jumps 13.7% on Guidance: The memory giant surged 13.67% after presenting aggressive long-term revenue targets and 80% margin projections at Investor Day. Cerebras Drops 11.9% After Q2: Shares tumbled 11.85% as second-quarter revenue fell short of consensus estimates, overshadowing a bump in full-year guidance. Focus Shifts to Retail Sales Data: Friday morning retail sales and consumer sentiment prints will test whether consumer spending supports this week's record rally.
S&P Hits Record on Soft PPI
The S&P 500 topped 7,800 for a new record as flat wholesale inflation data fueled Fed rate-cut expectations.
Workday Soars 17.8% on PE Rumors
Shares jumped 17.78% following reports that private equity powerhouse Silver Lake is in talks for a buyout deal.
SanDisk Jumps 13.7% on Guidance
The memory giant surged 13.67% after presenting aggressive long-term revenue targets and 80% margin projections at Investor Day.
Cerebras Drops 11.9% After Q2
Shares tumbled 11.85% as second-quarter revenue fell short of consensus estimates, overshadowing a bump in full-year guidance.
Focus Shifts to Retail Sales Data
Friday morning retail sales and consumer sentiment prints will test whether consumer spending supports this week's record rally.
Posture: With Fear & Greed at 66 (Greed) and S&P topping 7,800, we maintain a balanced, quality-focused posture ahead of key retail sales data.
Tickers in focus: SPY, WDAY, SNDK
Upcoming earnings
The day's moves on the ledger
Every entry below is public and permanent. "Human call" means the desk decided; "Robot call" means the nightly model did.
- Aug 13, 2026 · DELL — Dropped @ $495 · Robot call
Target hit with +8.0% gain since flagged as price exceeded our $463.30 target valuation. - Aug 13, 2026 · CEG — Sold @ $279 0.0% (cut) · Human call
Unwinding the robot's same-day rebuy. We booked CEG at +11% this morning on purpose: 8% to value, and we already own the AI-power trade through CCJ and VST. The seat goes back to TransDigm. - Aug 13, 2026 · TDG — Stage change — → Buy Zone @ $1,235 · Human call
Reopening the position the robot cut over month-old news: the DOJ story was July's $960M Stellant walk-away, while the $2.2B aftermarket deal CLOSED and guidance went UP. 23% growth, 21% margins, zero AI-capex dependence. - Aug 13, 2026 · SNDK — Stage change Take Profit → Hold @ $1,344 · Human call
Reversing the robot: our value is $1,774 and we're 32% below it. Take-profit means near value — a +11% three-day run is a hold, not a goodbye.
← Wednesday, August 12, 2026 · Friday, August 14, 2026 → · Archive