Job losses sealed the Fed pause, and while Atlassian soared on AI, TTD reminded us that not all flights are smooth

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Morning brief: Futures held their breath for jobs data, and while our energy plays hummed, some tech names learned about gravity

Futures Flat as Markets Await Jobs Report: Stocks are hovering as investors wait for monthly employment data while crude oil jumps on renewed Middle East shipping threats. AppLovin Plunges 19.66% on Guidance Miss: Shares tumbled after second-quarter revenue of $1.92 billion missed Wall Street estimates due to slowing growth in core mobile gaming. Celsius Drops 18.46% After Sales Disappoint: The stock sank following a second-quarter revenue and earnings miss caused by an 11.7% drop in core Celsius brand sales. Redwire Surges 10.35% on Record Revenue: Shares surged after reporting record second-quarter revenue of $117.1 million and narrowing net losses on strong defense drone demand. Focus Shifts to Upcoming Nuclear Earnings: Traders are watching morning reports from Oklo and Vistra today before space and cloud infrastructure earnings headline next week.

Futures Flat as Markets Await Jobs Report

Stocks are hovering as investors wait for monthly employment data while crude oil jumps on renewed Middle East shipping threats.

AppLovin Plunges 19.66% on Guidance Miss

Shares tumbled after second-quarter revenue of $1.92 billion missed Wall Street estimates due to slowing growth in core mobile gaming.

Celsius Drops 18.46% After Sales Disappoint

The stock sank following a second-quarter revenue and earnings miss caused by an 11.7% drop in core Celsius brand sales.

Redwire Surges 10.35% on Record Revenue

Shares surged after reporting record second-quarter revenue of $117.1 million and narrowing net losses on strong defense drone demand.

Focus Shifts to Upcoming Nuclear Earnings

Traders are watching morning reports from Oklo and Vistra today before space and cloud infrastructure earnings headline next week.

Posture: At a Greed reading of 60, market sentiment is optimistic ahead of jobs data. We maintain a quality-focused, neutral posture.

Tickers in focus: APP, CELH, XLE

Upcoming earnings

  • OKLO — 2026-08-07, Before Market Open
  • VST — 2026-08-07, Before Market Open
  • ASTS — 2026-08-10, TBD
  • RKLB — 2026-08-10, TBD
  • CRWV — 2026-08-11, TBD
  • LITE — 2026-08-11, After Market Close

Evening brief: Job losses sealed the Fed pause, and while Atlassian soared on AI, TTD reminded us that not all flights are smooth

Surprise Job Losses Lock In Fed Rate Pause: July nonfarm payrolls fell by 23,000, sending rate hike odds tumbling and pushing Fear & Greed to 64. Atlassian Surges 35.3% on Stellar Q4 Beat: TEAM exploded 35.31% after beating Q4 estimates with $1.87 EPS and 31% cloud growth while unveiling new AI coding agents. The Trade Desk Drops 21.9% on Revenue Miss: TTD crashed 21.90% following a broad Q2 top-line miss and weak Q3 revenue guidance that triggered widespread analyst downgrades. Celsius Rallies 16.8% as Activist Steps In: CELH surged 16.83% after Rockstar founder Russ Savage revealed a 4.7% stake and urged immediate leadership changes. Space Tech Earnings Test Beta Rally Next: ASTS and RKLB kick off earnings on August 10, testing whether high-beta momentum can hold after recent sharp gains.

Surprise Job Losses Lock In Fed Rate Pause

July nonfarm payrolls fell by 23,000, sending rate hike odds tumbling and pushing Fear & Greed to 64.

Atlassian Surges 35.3% on Stellar Q4 Beat

TEAM exploded 35.31% after beating Q4 estimates with $1.87 EPS and 31% cloud growth while unveiling new AI coding agents.

The Trade Desk Drops 21.9% on Revenue Miss

TTD crashed 21.90% following a broad Q2 top-line miss and weak Q3 revenue guidance that triggered widespread analyst downgrades.

Celsius Rallies 16.8% as Activist Steps In

CELH surged 16.83% after Rockstar founder Russ Savage revealed a 4.7% stake and urged immediate leadership changes.

Space Tech Earnings Test Beta Rally Next

ASTS and RKLB kick off earnings on August 10, testing whether high-beta momentum can hold after recent sharp gains.

Posture: Fear & Greed at 64 reflects bullish sentiment as job losses cement Fed rate pauses, favoring risk-on positioning in tech and growth leaders.

Tickers in focus: TEAM, TTD

Upcoming earnings

  • ASTS — 2026-08-10, TBD
  • RKLB — 2026-08-10, TBD
  • CRWV — 2026-08-11, TBD
  • LITE — 2026-08-11, After Market Close
  • CBRS — 2026-08-12, TBD
  • COHR — 2026-08-12, After Market Close

The day's moves on the ledger

Every entry below is public and permanent. "Human call" means the desk decided; "Robot call" means the nightly model did.

  • Aug 7, 2026 · TTD — Sold @ $13.8 -21.5% (cut) · Robot call
    Top-line growth deceleration and weak forward guidance broke the hyper-growth thesis, prompting a clean exit.

← Thursday, August 6, 2026 · Sunday, August 9, 2026 → · Archive